Consider the following statements regarding the World Population Prospects Report 2024:
1. The global fertility rate is currently above the replacement level.
2. India’s population is expected to peak after 2050.
3. The world’s population is projected to keep growing for the next 50–60 years.
How many of the above statements are correct?
(a) Only one
(b) Only two
(c) All three
(d) None
Explanation
The World Population Prospects 2024 report, released by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA), provides crucial insights into global demographic trends, including population growth, fertility rates, and life expectancy.
Statement 1 is correct: According to the report, the global fertility rate in 2024 is 2.25 live births per woman,while the replacement level fertility is 2.1 live births per woman. Although the global average remains slightly above the replacement level, more than half of all countries and areas now have fertility rates below this threshold. This indicates a gradual decline in population growth in many parts of the world, particularly in developed countries and some developing nations.
Statement 2 is correct: The report projects that India’s population in 2024 is 1.45 billion and will peak at 1.69 billion in 2054. Since 2054 falls after 2050, the statement is accurate. This means that India’s population will continue to grow for the next three decades before stabilizing and eventually declining.This demographic trend underscores the need for long-term planning in areas like urban development, employment generation, and resource management.
Statement 3 is correct: According to the report, the global population will peak at 10.3 billion in the mid-2080s, which is about 60 years from now. However, after this peak, the global population is expected to decline gradually, reaching 10.2 billion by the end of the century. This means that while population growth will continue for several more decades, it will not sustain beyond the next 50–60 years.
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