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Understanding India’s Trade Growth: Key Insights for 2023

Analyzing Export and Import Trends Over the Years

Understanding India’s Trade Growth: Key Insights for 2023

  • 15 Oct, 2023
  • 337

India's Trade Growth: A Comprehensive Analysis

India's trade has experienced significant growth in recent years. In 2019, the total trade was valued at $5.5 billion, which surged to $10.5 billion by 2023, marking a remarkable increase of 93%. This upward trend highlights the shifting dynamics of global trade and India's strategic positioning within it.

Trade Balance Overview

The trade balance has remained favorable for India. In June 2019, exports surpassed imports by $1.9 billion. By June 2023, this surplus increased to $5.7 billion, indicating a robust growth in export activities. This favorable balance showcases India’s growing competitiveness in international markets.

Import and Export Analysis

Despite the favorable trade balance, imports have remained relatively stagnant. In 2013, imports were approximately $2.5 billion (on a four-quarter rolling basis), decreasing slightly to $2.4 billion by 2023. On the other hand, exports have shown significant growth. They were valued at $3.7 billion in both 2013 and 2019, but jumped to $8.1 billion in 2023, reflecting a substantial rise post-Covid-19.

Export Breakdown by Sector

The breakdown of exports reveals interesting trends:

  • Manufactured Goods: $2.6 billion, a 30.5% increase (2023).
  • Petroleum and Crude Products: $5.3 billion, a staggering 245% rise, comprising 65.2% of total exports in 2023 compared to 41.8% in 2019.
  • Gems & Jewelry: $1.2 billion.
  • Engineering Goods: $455 million.
  • Textiles: $127 million.
  • Drugs and Pharmaceuticals: $96.8 million.
  • Chemical Products: $282 million.

Future Prospects: FTA with Israel

India is currently considering a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with Israel, which has faced some delays. The negotiations primarily focus on facilitating the movement of IT professionals. Additionally, the tariff structure in West Asia is not steep, which may lessen the significance of goods in trade discussions.

Geopolitical Risks and Trade Impact

The ongoing geopolitical tensions pose risks to India’s trade dynamics. Increased war intensity can lead to higher insurance premiums and shipping costs, significantly affecting trade operations. Eilat port, located on the Red Sea, serves as the main trade port for India, making its stability crucial for trade continuity.

As we delve deeper into these discussions, understanding the intricacies of trade growth will be essential for future planning and strategic development.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Q1. What was India's trade value in 2023?
Answer: India's trade value reached $10.5 billion in 2023, reflecting a significant increase from $5.5 billion in 2019.

Q2. How has the trade balance changed over the years?
Answer: India's trade balance improved from a surplus of $1.9 billion in June 2019 to $5.7 billion by June 2023, indicating stronger export performance.

Q3. What are the main sectors driving India's exports?
Answer: Key sectors driving exports include petroleum and crude products, manufactured goods, and gems and jewelry, with petroleum exports experiencing significant growth.

Q4. What risks does the geopolitical situation pose to trade?
Answer: Geopolitical tensions can lead to higher insurance costs and shipping expenses, impacting trade efficiency and costs.

Q5. What is the status of the FTA with Israel?
Answer: The Free Trade Agreement with Israel is under consideration but has faced delays, primarily focusing on IT professionals' movement.

UPSC Practice MCQs

Question 1: What was India's total trade value in 2023?
A) $5.5 billion
B) $10.5 billion
C) $8.1 billion
D) $2.4 billion
Correct Answer: B

Question 2: Which sector contributed the largest share to India's exports in 2023?
A) Textiles
B) Petroleum and Crude Products
C) Engineering Goods
D) Gems & Jewelry
Correct Answer: B

Question 3: What was the trade balance for India in June 2023?
A) $1.9 billion
B) $5.7 billion
C) $2.5 billion
D) $3.7 billion
Correct Answer: B

Question 4: Which port is the main trade port for India?
A) Mumbai Port
B) Chennai Port
C) Eilat Port
D) Kolkata Port
Correct Answer: C

Question 5: What percentage of total exports did petroleum products account for in 2023?
A) 41.8%
B) 30.5%
C) 65.2%
D) 50%
Correct Answer: C

 

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