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Milankovitch cycles are a collective term for the long-term, predictable changes in Earth's orbit and its orientation. These changes significantly influence the amount and distribution of solar energy that reaches our planet, affecting climate patterns over extensive periods.
Milankovitch cycles comprise three primary components, each affecting Earth's climate in distinct ways:
Each component of the Milankovitch cycles operates on its own timescale:
While Milankovitch cycles do not directly cause warming or cooling, they modify how sunlight is distributed on Earth over lengthy timescales. These modifications trigger feedback mechanisms within our climate system, such as ice sheet growth, which can amplify their effects.
The current global warming trend is too rapid and large-scale to be attributed to Milankovitch cycles, which function over thousands of years. Instead, recent warming is predominantly driven by human-induced greenhouse gas emissions.
Milankovitch cycles are considered the "pacemaker" for glacial-interglacial cycles. They establish conditions for changes in factors like ice sheet growth and ocean circulation, which in turn influence global temperatures over long timescales.
There are several additional areas of interest related to Milankovitch cycles:
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